Oleg Zabluda's blog
Friday, November 09, 2012
 
Very funny and timely, but, uncharacteristically, a bit sloppy.
Very funny and timely, but, uncharacteristically, a bit sloppy.

First of all the Sun can't go Nova. The question should have been - "Did WR104 just explode"?
https://plus.google.com/112065430692128821190/posts/AgQ4Phxzh82 

Second of all, if the Sun has gone Nova, for them not to know from optical observations, it's not enough for it to be night. They also shouldn't be able to see the Moon or NEAs. Could be because the neutrino detector is deep underground, but then it doesn't matter if it's night or day.

As an illustration, the Sun's magnitude is -27 and the Moon's magnitude is -12.6. The brightness difference of 400,000x. A Nova is 400,000,000x brighter then the Sun, so the Moon would become 1000x brighter then Sun is now. They'd know. In fact, they'd clearly know from just looking at the nigh-sky atmosphere.

Randall Munroe's response to criticism:
http://andrewgelman.com/2012/11/16808/#comment-109366
I seem to have stepped on a hornet’s nest, though, by adding “Frequentist” and “Bayesian” titles to the panels. [...] I genuinely didn’t realize Frequentists and Bayesians were actual camps of people—all of whom are now emailing me.

http://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/2272/whats-the-difference-between-a-confidence-interval-and-a-credible-interval#2287
http://www.quora.com/Mathematics/I-have-burned-200-disks-and-I-want-to-make-sure-that-they-are-all-in-perfect-working-order-What-is-the-smallest-size-sample-I-could-test-in-order-to-be-relatively-confident-that-98-of-all-the-disks-are-fine-burned-correctly/answer/Keith-Winstein?srid=tL&st=ns

Also see
http://avva.livejournal.com/2506297.html

Originally shared by Alexey Goldin
http://xkcd.com/1132/

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